Will Prineville Lake Acres have a white Christmas?

Christmas-morning snow-on-the-ground odds for Prineville Lake Acres, Oregon, on December 25, 2026.

The historical picture

The validated 1991–2020 spatial model indicates an estimated 19% chance of at least one inch of snow on the ground here on December 25—roughly 6 of 30 Christmases.

Climate period

1991–2020

Nearest station

9 mi

Place elevation

3,832 ft

The model retains four-station NOAA lineage; the closest is PRINEVILLE (USC00356883). Boosted spatial v4 passed sealed temporal, regional and blocked-spatial validation before promotion.

Nearby major places

Frequently asked questions

Will Prineville Lake Acres have a white Christmas this year?
The current estimate is 19% for at least one inch of snow on the ground in Prineville Lake Acres on December 25, 2026. At this range, the estimate comes from the validated historical spatial model.
How often does Prineville Lake Acres have a white Christmas?
The validated 1991–2020 historical estimate is about 2 years in 10. It combines target-excluded nearby station history, terrain and geographic context.
What counts as a white Christmas?
At least one inch (2.54 cm) of snow on the ground at the Christmas-morning observation, represented here by 07:00 local time. Snow that only arrives later in the day does not meet the headline definition.